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NEVADA POLL OF RECORD: Lombardo, Ford Deadlocked at 47%
Nevada’s governor’s race is a coin flip in an otherwise more favorable picture for Democrats, according to Noble Predictive Insights’ (NPI) poll of record on Nevada’s general election. The survey finds Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford tied at 47%, while Democrats lead for Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, and Secretary of State. Majorities also support both the abortion-rights and voter-identification amendments.

Noble Predictive Insights
2 hours ago6 min read


AZ POLL OF RECORD: Hobbs +6, Yee Bucks the Trend
Arizona voters aren’t giving either party a clean sweep. Noble Predictive Insights’ (NPI) Arizona poll of record finds Democrats Katie Hobbs and Adrian Fontes leading their Republican opponents by 6 points and Kris Mayes ahead by 4. The superintendent’s race breaks the pattern: Republican Kimberly Yee holds a narrow 2-point edge over Democrat Teresa Leyba Ruiz.

Noble Predictive Insights
12 hours ago5 min read


UTAH POLL OF RECORD: 56% Oppose Amendment B
With Election Day less than a week away, a majority of Utah likely voters oppose Amendment B and disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance, according to Noble Predictive Insights’ (NPI) poll of record on Utah’s general election.

Noble Predictive Insights
1 day ago3 min read


Nevada Voters Want Limits on Data Center Growth
Nearly all Nevada voters are concerned to some degree about the impact growth can have on Nevada’s water, and majorities of voters are against the development of new data centers.

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 73 min read


Lombardo Tries to Escape Trump’s Orbit; Up 2 Over Ford
Lombardo’s edge over his fellow Republicans is primarily the result of two factors: overperformance among independent and Clark County voters and the presence of a third-party candidate.

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 64 min read


Utah Voters Put Water Ahead of Data-Center Growth
Utah voters are highly concerned about the effect of growth and development on the state's water supply, and those concerns carry directly into how they view additional large data centers.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 233 min read


California Voters Want Growth Managed and Open Space Protected
California voters are connecting decades of growth and development to increasing pressure on the state’s land, water, transportation, and quality of life – and they want policymakers to take those tradeoffs seriously, according to a new statewide survey conducted by Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) for NumbersUSA.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 145 min read


Trump Approval Falls to Lowest Level Ever Recorded by AZPOP
As an election-year summer draws to a close in Arizona, the pieces of another yet divided electoral environment are falling into place.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 274 min read


Arizona Voters Want the Brakes Put on New Data Centers
Arizona voters are skeptical of additional large data-center development – and become even more decisive when asked to weigh investment against pressure on state resources

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 264 min read


Fontes and Mayes Lead Down-ballot; Yee Holds Narrow Edge for Schools Chief
Arizona’s statewide ballot remains competitive below the governor's race. Among likely voters, Democratic Secretary of State Adrian Fontes leads Republican Alexander Kolodin by 6 points; Democratic Attorney General Kris Mayes leads Republican Warren Petersen by 6 points; and Republican Kimberly Yee holds a narrow 3-point edge over Democrat Teresa Leyba Ruiz for Superintendent of Public Instruction.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 254 min read


Katie Hobbs Leads Andy Biggs in The Grand Canyon State
NPI’s final pre-primary survey correctly identified the leading candidate in every statewide GOP primary it tested: Governor, Secretary of State, and Treasurer.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 205 min read


NPI’s Pre-Primary Poll Nails GOP Primary Winners
NPI’s final pre-primary survey correctly identified the leading candidate in every statewide GOP primary it tested: Governor, Secretary of State, and Treasurer.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 273 min read


Trump Approval Hits All-Time Low in AZ as Democrats Narrowly Lead Generic Ballot
President Donald Trump hits an all-time low approval rating, Democrats have a narrow lead on the generic statewide ballot, and healthcare is outpacing immigration as a top issue.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 214 min read


Gas Prices Are Hammering Arizona Households — 90% of Voters Concerned
That is the key political finding: gas prices are a broad concern, but the voters most likely to say the issue could affect their ballot are many of the same groups already central to Arizona’s statewide battleground.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 204 min read


NV Down-Ballot: Wide-Open Primaries, Competitive General Elections
New poll finds Nevada’s 2026 down-ballot statewide races largely unsettled, with a majority of voters still undecided in key contests and no clear frontrunners emerging.

Noble Predictive Insights
Apr 14 min read


NVGOV: Lombardo Keeps Pace with Ford as Undecideds Hold the Balance
New poll finds Nevada’s 2026 governor’s race already narrowing into what looks like a highly competitive general election, with Governor Joe Lombardo and Attorney General Aaron Ford tied and a meaningful bloc of undecided voters still up for grabs.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 275 min read


Wide-Open Down-Ballot Primaries with High Undecided Voters
New poll finds several AZ down-ballot statewide races largely unsettled heading into the 2026 cycle, with substantial shares of primary voters undecided and no clear front-runners emerging in multiple contests.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 105 min read


AZGOV: Biggs Benefits from Field Consolidation, Hobbs Holds Early Edge
New poll: As the 2026 cycle begins to take shape, Arizona once again appears poised for another tightly contested gubernatorial battle.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 34 min read


Arizona Power Rankings: Rating AZ Political Figures
Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) is releasing the newest edition of its Power Rankings of popular (and sometimes unpopular) figures in Arizona, and the former Arizona Cardinals kicker comes in second place on the list.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jan 224 min read


Arizona Public Opinion: A Year in Review
A year of Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) polling from Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) showcases a political environment defined by softening incumbents, hardening partisan divides, and very little voter movement beneath the surface.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jan 84 min read
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