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Nevada’s 2026 Governor’s Race: Lombardo and Ford Locked in Early Dead Heat
Nevada voters are staring down another nail-biter gubernatorial race. The latest Nevada Public Opinion Pulse data from Noble Predictive Insights shows Republican Governor Joe Lombardo holding a narrow lead over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, underscoring the deep divisions defining the Silver State's political landscape.

Noble Predictive Insights
5 days ago3 min read
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Back on the Right Track: Confidence in State Leadership and Elections Rebounds Amid National Division
Utahns are feeling better about their state’s trajectory and leadership than they did a year ago, according to a new Utah Public Opinion Pulse

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 164 min read
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Utah Voters Deeply Concerned About Political Violence
Utah voters are overwhelmingly concerned about political violence in the United States, strongly believe that it is getting worse, and all-but-universally agree that elected leaders should do more to restore civility and discourage extremism.

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 95 min read
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Arizonans Are More Confident in Election Integrity
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds that Republicans and Democrats have converged on remarkably similar levels of trust in election integrity, while the once-explosive debate over mail-in voting has settled into broad acceptance of the current system.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 185 min read
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Party Over Parenting: Politics, Not Parenthood, Drive Arizona’s Education Debates
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds that party affiliation serves as a stronger predictor of education policy preferences than whether someone has children in school.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 163 min read
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Arizonans Are Weary of Direction of Both Nation and State
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds muted confidence in the country and in the state, with many Arizonans seeing more headwinds than tailwinds, and they’re signaling a desire for leadership that can turn that perception around.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 125 min read
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Epstein Controversy Deepens Arizona’s Partisan Divide
The Jeffrey Epstein scandal is casting a long shadow over Arizona politics, dividing voters between party loyalty and demands for ethical accountability.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 106 min read
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Fueling Concerns: Arizona Voters Push for Forest Management Over Firefighting
While Arizonans recognize efforts the state has made, many still believe there are serious gaps in wildfire preparedness.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 54 min read
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Robson Rewrites the 2022 Playbook as She Opens with an Early Lead in Arizona GOP Primary
With Trump in her corner, Karrin Taylor Robson is entering the 2026 GOP Gov. race with a fundamentally stronger hand and a clearer path to victory.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 285 min read
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A Deep Look at Trump/Gallego Voters
Even as Donald Trump carried Arizona by nearly 6 points last November, Democratic congressman Ruben Gallego was elected to the Senate by over 2 points — the largest gap of any state with a split presidential/Senate outcome in 2024.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 274 min read
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The New Anti-Trump Resistance in Utah
No deep-red state has been more skeptical of President Donald Trump than Utah.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 273 min read
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Election Day Holiday Unlikely in Arizona or Nevada
Over a dozen states have made Election Day a state holiday, but Arizona and Nevada are unlikely to do so any time soon.Â

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 272 min read
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Utah Congressional Map Could Be More Representative
according to our Q1 UTPOP survey, 65% of Utah voters think an independent commission (not the state legislature) should draw the lines.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 274 min read
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Democrats’ 2028 Priorities: Traits vs Names
NPI’s April national poll of registered voters, in partnership with The Center Square, finds that Democrats know what they want, even if they don’t know who. And our research shows that just a couple candidates fit the bill.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 274 min read
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They Know What They Care About. They’re Not Sure Trump’s Delivering.
President Donald Trump made a lot of promises on the campaign trail – but like any candidate, he can’t keep them all. As the president's approval ratings have dropped on virtually every issue since taking office, the pressure is on him to prioritize.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 233 min read
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Arizona Political Climate: Division, Division, Division
As the 2026 midterm election cycle begins to take shape, early data suggests the Republican Party holds a small advantage overall, but that high-profile elected Democrats are in good political shape.Â

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 46 min read
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Crime, Costs, and Confidence: Arizonans Want Security Ahead of 2026 Election
Arizona voters are weighing in on some of the most debated national issues. The) latest AZPOP finds where the public stands, and what still divides them on the economy, immigration, election security, and voter reform.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 26 min read
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AZ Governor’s Race: Biggs Gains Momentum as GOP Field Shifts
Karrin Taylor Robson currently leads in the primary, but the late-breaking development of Charlie Kirk's endorsement of U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs may shift the race dramatically.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 285 min read
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Nevada: The Silver State? More like the Purple State
The latest Nevada public opinion polling data reveals a state that is politically divided, but not disillusioned. Party preferences are split, but voters are united behind top issues and overall optimism.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 54 min read
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Trump’s Turbulent Start: Nevada Voters Reject Tariffs and Department of Education Dissolution
Nevadans are pushing back on Trump's controversial initiatives regarding tariffs and policy proposals to eliminate the Department of Education, even as Trump retains strong loyalty among segments of the Republican base.

Noble Predictive Insights
Apr 304 min read
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