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Trump Approval Falls to Lowest Level Ever Recorded by AZPOP
As an election-year summer draws to a close in Arizona, the pieces of another yet divided electoral environment are falling into place.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 274 min read


Arizona Voters Want the Brakes Put on New Data Centers
Arizona voters are skeptical of additional large data-center development – and become even more decisive when asked to weigh investment against pressure on state resources

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 264 min read


Fontes and Mayes Lead Down-ballot; Yee Holds Narrow Edge for Schools Chief
Arizona’s statewide ballot remains competitive below the governor's race. Among likely voters, Democratic Secretary of State Adrian Fontes leads Republican Alexander Kolodin by 6 points; Democratic Attorney General Kris Mayes leads Republican Warren Petersen by 6 points; and Republican Kimberly Yee holds a narrow 3-point edge over Democrat Teresa Leyba Ruiz for Superintendent of Public Instruction.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 254 min read


Katie Hobbs Leads Andy Biggs in The Grand Canyon State
NPI’s final pre-primary survey correctly identified the leading candidate in every statewide GOP primary it tested: Governor, Secretary of State, and Treasurer.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 205 min read


NPI’s Pre-Primary Poll Nails GOP Primary Winners
NPI’s final pre-primary survey correctly identified the leading candidate in every statewide GOP primary it tested: Governor, Secretary of State, and Treasurer.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 273 min read


AZGOV GOP Primary: Biggs Goes Big Before Primary Day
A new poll from NPI finds Congressman Andy Biggs far out in front in Arizona’s Republican gubernatorial primary, with 60% support among likely GOP primary voters.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 73 min read


Maricopa Voters Say Federal Oversight Has Gone on Too Long
Maricopa County voters are largely unfamiliar with the ongoing federal court oversight of the Maricopa County Sheriff’s Office — but once presented with the issue, most say the oversight should be reconsidered and taxpayers should not have to continue paying for actions from more than a decade ago.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 96 min read


Trump Approval Hits All-Time Low in AZ as Democrats Narrowly Lead Generic Ballot
President Donald Trump hits an all-time low approval rating, Democrats have a narrow lead on the generic statewide ballot, and healthcare is outpacing immigration as a top issue.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 214 min read


Gas Prices Are Hammering Arizona Households — 90% of Voters Concerned
That is the key political finding: gas prices are a broad concern, but the voters most likely to say the issue could affect their ballot are many of the same groups already central to Arizona’s statewide battleground.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 204 min read


AZGOV: Biggs Nears Majority as Hobbs Holds Early Edge
A new poll from NPI finds Congressman Andy Biggs continuing to consolidate support in the Republican primary, while Governor Katie Hobbs maintains a narrow but stable early advantage in the general election.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 154 min read


Wide-Open Down-Ballot Primaries with High Undecided Voters
New poll finds several AZ down-ballot statewide races largely unsettled heading into the 2026 cycle, with substantial shares of primary voters undecided and no clear front-runners emerging in multiple contests.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 105 min read


AZGOV: Biggs Benefits from Field Consolidation, Hobbs Holds Early Edge
New poll: As the 2026 cycle begins to take shape, Arizona once again appears poised for another tightly contested gubernatorial battle.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 34 min read


Arizona Power Rankings: Rating AZ Political Figures
Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) is releasing the newest edition of its Power Rankings of popular (and sometimes unpopular) figures in Arizona, and the former Arizona Cardinals kicker comes in second place on the list.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jan 224 min read


Arizona Public Opinion: A Year in Review
A year of Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) polling from Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) showcases a political environment defined by softening incumbents, hardening partisan divides, and very little voter movement beneath the surface.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jan 84 min read


Arizonans Are More Confident in Election Integrity
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds that Republicans and Democrats have converged on remarkably similar levels of trust in election integrity, while the once-explosive debate over mail-in voting has settled into broad acceptance of the current system.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 18, 20255 min read


Party Over Parenting: Politics, Not Parenthood, Drive Arizona’s Education Debates
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds that party affiliation serves as a stronger predictor of education policy preferences than whether someone has children in school.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 16, 20253 min read


Arizonans Are Weary of Direction of Both Nation and State
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds muted confidence in the country and in the state, with many Arizonans seeing more headwinds than tailwinds, and they’re signaling a desire for leadership that can turn that perception around.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 12, 20255 min read


Epstein Controversy Deepens Arizona’s Partisan Divide
The Jeffrey Epstein scandal is casting a long shadow over Arizona politics, dividing voters between party loyalty and demands for ethical accountability.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 10, 20256 min read


Fueling Concerns: Arizona Voters Push for Forest Management Over Firefighting
While Arizonans recognize efforts the state has made, many still believe there are serious gaps in wildfire preparedness.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 5, 20254 min read


Robson Rewrites the 2022 Playbook as She Opens with an Early Lead in Arizona GOP Primary
With Trump in her corner, Karrin Taylor Robson is entering the 2026 GOP Gov. race with a fundamentally stronger hand and a clearer path to victory.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 28, 20255 min read
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