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Arizonans Are More Confident in Election Integrity
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds that Republicans and Democrats have converged on remarkably similar levels of trust in election integrity, while the once-explosive debate over mail-in voting has settled into broad acceptance of the current system.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 185 min read


Party Over Parenting: Politics, Not Parenthood, Drive Arizona’s Education Debates
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds that party affiliation serves as a stronger predictor of education policy preferences than whether someone has children in school.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 163 min read


Arizonans Are Weary of Direction of Both Nation and State
The latest AZPOP from Noble Predictive Insights finds muted confidence in the country and in the state, with many Arizonans seeing more headwinds than tailwinds, and they’re signaling a desire for leadership that can turn that perception around.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 125 min read


Epstein Controversy Deepens Arizona’s Partisan Divide
The Jeffrey Epstein scandal is casting a long shadow over Arizona politics, dividing voters between party loyalty and demands for ethical accountability.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 106 min read


Fueling Concerns: Arizona Voters Push for Forest Management Over Firefighting
While Arizonans recognize efforts the state has made, many still believe there are serious gaps in wildfire preparedness.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 54 min read


Robson Rewrites the 2022 Playbook as She Opens with an Early Lead in Arizona GOP Primary
With Trump in her corner, Karrin Taylor Robson is entering the 2026 GOP Gov. race with a fundamentally stronger hand and a clearer path to victory.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 285 min read


A Deep Look at Trump/Gallego Voters
Even as Donald Trump carried Arizona by nearly 6 points last November, Democratic congressman Ruben Gallego was elected to the Senate by over 2 points — the largest gap of any state with a split presidential/Senate outcome in 2024.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 274 min read
Election Day Holiday Unlikely in Arizona or Nevada
Over a dozen states have made Election Day a state holiday, but Arizona and Nevada are unlikely to do so any time soon.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 272 min read


They Know What They Care About. They’re Not Sure Trump’s Delivering.
President Donald Trump made a lot of promises on the campaign trail – but like any candidate, he can’t keep them all. As the president's approval ratings have dropped on virtually every issue since taking office, the pressure is on him to prioritize.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 233 min read


Arizona Political Climate: Division, Division, Division
As the 2026 midterm election cycle begins to take shape, early data suggests the Republican Party holds a small advantage overall, but that high-profile elected Democrats are in good political shape.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 46 min read


Crime, Costs, and Confidence: Arizonans Want Security Ahead of 2026 Election
Arizona voters are weighing in on some of the most debated national issues. The) latest AZPOP finds where the public stands, and what still divides them on the economy, immigration, election security, and voter reform.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 26 min read


AZ Governor’s Race: Biggs Gains Momentum as GOP Field Shifts
Karrin Taylor Robson currently leads in the primary, but the late-breaking development of Charlie Kirk's endorsement of U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs may shift the race dramatically.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 285 min read


Could Arizona’s Next Governor Be an Influencer?
Polling suggests that if he were to run for governor, Kirk might perform as well as — or better than — other more traditional candidates
Bradley Wascher
Apr 34 min read


How AZ Gen Z Voters Shaped 2024
College campuses in Arizona swung toward Trump by 6–8 points in 2024 — more than the 5.2-point shift statewide.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 115 min read


Arizona Voters Fed Up with Soaring Housing Costs
Arizonans express frustration over the high cost of living and show strong support for new housing developments aimed at reducing costs.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 35 min read


The Heat is On: Arizona's Political Climate Warms with Voter Optimism
Insight into voter sentiment on key issues, political party performance, and the approval ratings of Arizona’s top leaders

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 266 min read


Arizona GOP Voters Still Searching for a Gubernatorial Primary Frontrunner
A highly uncertain landscape defines the 2026 AZ GOP gubernatorial primary with nearly half of GOP voters undecided on a preferred candidate

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 255 min read


The Electoral Process and Election Integrity in Arizona
Arizona voters have a newfound confidence in the accuracy of elections in Arizona, but also point to areas where improvements can be made.

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 11, 20244 min read


Arizona Voters Set Expectations for Trump 2.0
With the election over, the next question in voters’ minds is, “What’s going to change?” This poll explored voter expectations for Trump 2.0

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 10, 20245 min read


A New Post-Election Outlook in Arizona
Following the 2024 election, the AZPOP finds that voters are expressing a mix of hope and ongoing concerns about key state issues.

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 9, 20244 min read
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