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Could Arizona’s Next Governor Be an Influencer?
Polling suggests that if he were to run for governor, Kirk might perform as well as — or better than — other more traditional candidates
Bradley Wascher
Apr 34 min read
99 views


How AZ Gen Z Voters Shaped 2024
College campuses in Arizona swung toward Trump by 6–8 points in 2024 — more than the 5.2-point shift statewide.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 115 min read
66 views


Arizona Voters Fed Up with Soaring Housing Costs
Arizonans express frustration over the high cost of living and show strong support for new housing developments aimed at reducing costs.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 35 min read
237 views


The Heat is On: Arizona's Political Climate Warms with Voter Optimism
Insight into voter sentiment on key issues, political party performance, and the approval ratings of Arizona’s top leaders

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 266 min read
1,583 views


Arizona GOP Voters Still Searching for a Gubernatorial Primary Frontrunner
A highly uncertain landscape defines the 2026 AZ GOP gubernatorial primary with nearly half of GOP voters undecided on a preferred candidate

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 255 min read
3,160 views


The Electoral Process and Election Integrity in Arizona
Arizona voters have a newfound confidence in the accuracy of elections in Arizona, but also point to areas where improvements can be made.

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 11, 20244 min read
215 views


Arizona Voters Set Expectations for Trump 2.0
With the election over, the next question in voters’ minds is, “What’s going to change?” This poll explored voter expectations for Trump 2.0

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 10, 20245 min read
74 views


A New Post-Election Outlook in Arizona
Following the 2024 election, the AZPOP finds that voters are expressing a mix of hope and ongoing concerns about key state issues.

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 9, 20244 min read
184 views


Why They Did It: Trump and Harris Voters in Arizona Explain their Votes
Unofficial results are in, but what vote count doesn’t tell us is why AZ voters voted the way they did - this poll answers that question.

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 4, 20245 min read
416 views


NPI Arizona Poll of Record Proves Accurate in Senate Race and Abortion Measure
NPI's poll of record has correctly predicted the close outcomes in Arizona’s critical races, cementing NPI’s reputation as a top pollster.

Noble Predictive Insights
Nov 12, 20244 min read
62 views


AZ POLL OF RECORD: Trump +1, Gallego +4
NPI's poll of record on Arizona’s general election reveals extremely tight Presidential and U.S. Senate races.

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 31, 20245 min read
5,013 views


Pessimism Reigns as Voter Priorities Shift
For months, inflation, immigration, and abortion have been the top issues. That’s still true – but a new top-tier issue has emerged...

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 5, 20245 min read
376 views


Balancing on the Razor's Edge: Maricopa County’s Political Tightrope
Poll: Extremely tight races in Maricopa County across multiple offices and continued support for the renewal of Proposition 479.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 3, 20245 min read
656 views


Arizonans Overwhelmingly Back Immigration Ballot Measure
Most AZ voters support Prop 314, which would widely reform Arizona’s immigration policy, but are less supportive of Prop 135 and Prop 137.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 2, 20245 min read
947 views


Gallego Leads Lake in U.S. Senate Race
NPI's latest AZPOP finds Ruben Gallego with significant advantages on several key issues, positioning him well in the race against Kari Lake

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 28, 20245 min read
823 views


Harris Shakes Up Key Demographics in 2024 Presidential Race
Poll: A highly competitive Trump vs. Harris race. Despite Trump maintaining a narrow lead, Harris has significantly shifted voter dynamics.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 26, 20245 min read
18,262 views


Nailing it in the Southwest: NPI’s Accurate Predictions in GOP Primaries
NPI is celebrating a clean sweep of accurate GOP primary predictions across three key Southwestern states - Arizona, Nevada, and Utah.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 13, 20244 min read
109 views


Arizona Poll of Record: NPI’s Poll of Record Aces the Southwest
As unofficial results from AZ's 2024 primaries , NPI’ poll of record has correctly predicted the outcome of the GOP Senate primary.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 31, 20243 min read
91 views


AZ POLL OF RECORD: Lake Outpaces Lamb in GOP Senate Primary
NPI's poll of record on Arizona’s GOP Senate primary finds that Kari Lake holds a significant lead over Mark Lamb.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 26, 20244 min read
3,953 views


The Race is On: AZCD01 Democratic Primary
The Democratic primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District remains highly competitive with no clear leader emerging from the pack

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 8, 20244 min read
1,941 views
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