top of page


Fueling Concerns: Arizona Voters Push for Forest Management Over Firefighting
While Arizonans recognize efforts the state has made, many still believe there are serious gaps in wildfire preparedness.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 5, 20254 min read


Robson Rewrites the 2022 Playbook as She Opens with an Early Lead in Arizona GOP Primary
With Trump in her corner, Karrin Taylor Robson is entering the 2026 GOP Gov. race with a fundamentally stronger hand and a clearer path to victory.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 28, 20255 min read


A Deep Look at Trump/Gallego Voters
Even as Donald Trump carried Arizona by nearly 6 points last November, Democratic congressman Ruben Gallego was elected to the Senate by over 2 points — the largest gap of any state with a split presidential/Senate outcome in 2024.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 27, 20254 min read


The New Anti-Trump Resistance in Utah
No deep-red state has been more skeptical of President Donald Trump than Utah.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 27, 20253 min read
Election Day Holiday Unlikely in Arizona or Nevada
Over a dozen states have made Election Day a state holiday, but Arizona and Nevada are unlikely to do so any time soon.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 27, 20252 min read


Utah Congressional Map Could Be More Representative
according to our Q1 UTPOP survey, 65% of Utah voters think an independent commission (not the state legislature) should draw the lines.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 27, 20254 min read


Democrats’ 2028 Priorities: Traits vs Names
NPI’s April national poll of registered voters, in partnership with The Center Square, finds that Democrats know what they want, even if they don’t know who. And our research shows that just a couple candidates fit the bill.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 27, 20254 min read


They Know What They Care About. They’re Not Sure Trump’s Delivering.
President Donald Trump made a lot of promises on the campaign trail – but like any candidate, he can’t keep them all. As the president's approval ratings have dropped on virtually every issue since taking office, the pressure is on him to prioritize.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 23, 20253 min read


Arizona Political Climate: Division, Division, Division
As the 2026 midterm election cycle begins to take shape, early data suggests the Republican Party holds a small advantage overall, but that high-profile elected Democrats are in good political shape.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 4, 20256 min read


Crime, Costs, and Confidence: Arizonans Want Security Ahead of 2026 Election
Arizona voters are weighing in on some of the most debated national issues. The) latest AZPOP finds where the public stands, and what still divides them on the economy, immigration, election security, and voter reform.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 2, 20256 min read


AZ Governor’s Race: Biggs Gains Momentum as GOP Field Shifts
Karrin Taylor Robson currently leads in the primary, but the late-breaking development of Charlie Kirk's endorsement of U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs may shift the race dramatically.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 28, 20255 min read


Nevada: The Silver State? More like the Purple State
The latest Nevada public opinion polling data reveals a state that is politically divided, but not disillusioned. Party preferences are split, but voters are united behind top issues and overall optimism.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 5, 20254 min read


Trump’s Turbulent Start: Nevada Voters Reject Tariffs and Department of Education Dissolution
Nevadans are pushing back on Trump's controversial initiatives regarding tariffs and policy proposals to eliminate the Department of Education, even as Trump retains strong loyalty among segments of the Republican base.

Noble Predictive Insights
Apr 30, 20254 min read


Priced Out, But Not Powerless: Nevada Voters Demand Housing Solutions
As Nevada’s housing crisis deepens, new public opinion polling data reveals Nevadans are ready for bold action to address skyrocketing costs.

Noble Predictive Insights
Apr 28, 20254 min read


Could Arizona’s Next Governor Be an Influencer?
Polling suggests that if he were to run for governor, Kirk might perform as well as — or better than — other more traditional candidates
Bradley Wascher
Apr 3, 20254 min read


Democratic Party Retooling is Coming
NPI Chief of Research David Byler recently weighed in on the debate over whether there’s a Democratic Tea Party in a piece for MSNBC
David Byler
Apr 2, 20251 min read


Home, Sweet Home: Utahns Struggle to Stay Put as Housing Costs Surge
According to our latest poll, big social issues – abortion, immigration – are nowhere near as important to Utah voters as affordable housing

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 27, 20254 min read


Elephant in the Room: Utah’s GOP Faces an Identity Crisis
Internal divisions in Utah's GOP persist, reflecting the ongoing tension between traditional conservatives and the MAGA faction.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 20, 20255 min read


Utah Pulse Check: Voters Take Legislative Temperature
Poll sheds light on Utahns’ awareness and opinions on key legislative issues, including fluoride regulation, SNAP benefits, & redistricting.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 20, 20255 min read


How AZ Gen Z Voters Shaped 2024
College campuses in Arizona swung toward Trump by 6–8 points in 2024 — more than the 5.2-point shift statewide.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 11, 20255 min read
bottom of page
