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Arizona Political Climate: Division, Division, Division
As the 2026 midterm election cycle begins to take shape, early data suggests the Republican Party holds a small advantage overall, but that high-profile elected Democrats are in good political shape.Â

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 46 min read
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AZ Governor’s Race: Biggs Gains Momentum as GOP Field Shifts
Karrin Taylor Robson currently leads in the primary, but the late-breaking development of Charlie Kirk's endorsement of U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs may shift the race dramatically.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 285 min read
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The Heat is On: Arizona's Political Climate Warms with Voter Optimism
Insight into voter sentiment on key issues, political party performance, and the approval ratings of Arizona’s top leaders

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 266 min read
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Arizona GOP Voters Still Searching for a Gubernatorial Primary Frontrunner
A highly uncertain landscape defines the 2026 AZ GOP gubernatorial primary with nearly half of GOP voters undecided on a preferred candidate

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 255 min read
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The Arizona Power Rankings: Predictive Insights on the Electability Power of 50 Big Names in Arizona
An interactive dashboard offering unparalleled insights into the preferences of voters and the electability power of key figures in Arizona.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jan 9, 20243 min read
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OHPI Poll of Record: Close Races Up and Down the Ticket in Arizona
Kelly and Lake have the Edge in U.S. Senate and Arizona Governor Races, Yet Still Within the Margin Toplines and Sample Summary can be...

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 31, 20224 min read
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Governor’s Race: Too Close to Call
Lake Holds 3-Point Lead over Hobbs; One in 10 Voters Still on the Fence Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here PHOENIX (October 14th,...

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 14, 20223 min read
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Hobbs Holds her Lead in Democratic Governor Primary
Competitors Struggle to Earn Double Digits Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here PHOENIX (May 31st, 2022)- In Arizona’s open race for...

Noble Predictive Insights
May 31, 20222 min read
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Lake Placid, Salmon on the Rise
Hobbs Remains on Top in Democratic Primary Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here PHOENIX (January 27th, 2022)- For several months,...

Noble Predictive Insights
Jan 27, 20224 min read
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State of Arizona Governor and Senate Primaries
Arizona Voters Split on Generic Ballot Questions Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here PHOENIX (November 23rd, 2021)- We are now less...

Noble Predictive Insights
Nov 23, 20214 min read
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Hobbs, Lake Maintain Leads in Governor Primary
Secretary of State Primary Largely Unsettled Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here PHOENIX (September 28, 2021)- The 2022 general...

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 28, 20214 min read
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Lake and Hobbs are Early Front Runners to Replace Ducey
Brnovich and McGuire are Strong Contenders to Take on Kelly Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here PHOENIX (August 2nd, 2021)- As...

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 2, 20214 min read
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