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Trump Approval Falls to Lowest Level Ever Recorded by AZPOP
As an election-year summer draws to a close in Arizona, the pieces of another yet divided electoral environment are falling into place.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 274 min read


Arizona Voters Want the Brakes Put on New Data Centers
Arizona voters are skeptical of additional large data-center development – and become even more decisive when asked to weigh investment against pressure on state resources

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 264 min read


Fontes and Mayes Lead Down-ballot; Yee Holds Narrow Edge for Schools Chief
Arizona’s statewide ballot remains competitive below the governor's race. Among likely voters, Democratic Secretary of State Adrian Fontes leads Republican Alexander Kolodin by 6 points; Democratic Attorney General Kris Mayes leads Republican Warren Petersen by 6 points; and Republican Kimberly Yee holds a narrow 3-point edge over Democrat Teresa Leyba Ruiz for Superintendent of Public Instruction.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 254 min read


NPI’s Pre-Primary Poll Nails GOP Primary Winners
NPI’s final pre-primary survey correctly identified the leading candidate in every statewide GOP primary it tested: Governor, Secretary of State, and Treasurer.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 273 min read


Gas Prices Are Hammering Arizona Households — 90% of Voters Concerned
That is the key political finding: gas prices are a broad concern, but the voters most likely to say the issue could affect their ballot are many of the same groups already central to Arizona’s statewide battleground.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 204 min read


AZGOV: Biggs Nears Majority as Hobbs Holds Early Edge
A new poll from NPI finds Congressman Andy Biggs continuing to consolidate support in the Republican primary, while Governor Katie Hobbs maintains a narrow but stable early advantage in the general election.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 154 min read


NV Down-Ballot: Wide-Open Primaries, Competitive General Elections
New poll finds Nevada’s 2026 down-ballot statewide races largely unsettled, with a majority of voters still undecided in key contests and no clear frontrunners emerging.

Noble Predictive Insights
Apr 14 min read


Arizona Power Rankings: Rating AZ Political Figures
Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) is releasing the newest edition of its Power Rankings of popular (and sometimes unpopular) figures in Arizona, and the former Arizona Cardinals kicker comes in second place on the list.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jan 224 min read


Could Arizona’s Next Governor Be an Influencer?
Polling suggests that if he were to run for governor, Kirk might perform as well as — or better than — other more traditional candidates
Bradley Wascher
Apr 3, 20254 min read


Arizona GOP Voters Still Searching for a Gubernatorial Primary Frontrunner
A highly uncertain landscape defines the 2026 AZ GOP gubernatorial primary with nearly half of GOP voters undecided on a preferred candidate

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 25, 20255 min read
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