Trump Squanders Convention Bump in AZPHOENIX (August 2, 2016) —Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is slightly ahead of Republican nominee Donald Trump in Arizona, according to a recent poll conducted by leading behavior research polling company, OH Predictive Insights.
In a survey of 996 likely Democrat, Republican, Independent and Non-Declared voters across Arizona based on projected 2016 general election turnout, Democrat Hillary Clinton is leading by 3 percent over Republican Donald Trump.2016 Arizona General ElectionAugust 1, 2016 ResultsHillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%Undecided8%
*Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding
In the last six presidential contests, Arizona was won by a Republican five times. The last Democratic candidate to carry Arizona was Bill Clinton two decades ago in 1996.
“Donald Trump should be winning in Arizona, however the numbers indicate he likely has stifled his momentum since the GOP convention with the comments regarding the Gold Star family,” Mike Noble, managing partner of OH Predictive Insights and chief pollster, said. “The Presidential race is very close at this point in the election season. It is still surprising that a Democratic presidential candidate would carry Arizona if the election were held today. Arizona should be a reliable red state.”
Methodology: This automated survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights on August 1, 2016, from a 2016 general election sample. Poll was weighted to reflect likely general election turnout. The sample size was 996 completed surveys, with a MoE of ± 3.1%
About OH Predictive Insights With Owens Harkey Advertising’s marketing and creative service resources coupled with OH Strategic Communication’s unparalleled messaging and strategic planning expertise, OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced targeted marketing. Leading Arizona pollster Michael Noble from MBQF Consulting brings proprietary social statistics software and services to OH Predictive Insights providing clients with tools to solve their most challenging problems. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-254-5159.