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A Deep Look at Trump/Gallego Voters
Even as Donald Trump carried Arizona by nearly 6 points last November, Democratic congressman Ruben Gallego was elected to the Senate by over 2 points — the largest gap of any state with a split presidential/Senate outcome in 2024.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 274 min read
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Arizona Political Climate: Division, Division, Division
As the 2026 midterm election cycle begins to take shape, early data suggests the Republican Party holds a small advantage overall, but that high-profile elected Democrats are in good political shape.Â

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 46 min read
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The Heat is On: Arizona's Political Climate Warms with Voter Optimism
Insight into voter sentiment on key issues, political party performance, and the approval ratings of Arizona’s top leaders

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 266 min read
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Why They Did It: Trump and Harris Voters in Arizona Explain their Votes
Unofficial results are in, but what vote count doesn’t tell us is why AZ voters voted the way they did - this poll answers that question.

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 4, 20245 min read
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NPI Arizona Poll of Record Proves Accurate in Senate Race and Abortion Measure
NPI's poll of record has correctly predicted the close outcomes in Arizona’s critical races, cementing NPI’s reputation as a top pollster.

Noble Predictive Insights
Nov 12, 20244 min read
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AZ POLL OF RECORD: Trump +1, Gallego +4
NPI's poll of record on Arizona’s general election reveals extremely tight Presidential and U.S. Senate races.

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 31, 20245 min read
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Gallego Leads Lake in U.S. Senate Race
NPI's latest AZPOP finds Ruben Gallego with significant advantages on several key issues, positioning him well in the race against Kari Lake

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 28, 20245 min read
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Lake Still Leading GOP Senate Primary, But Losing Ground
Kari Lake still leads in the GOP Senate primary, but her lead has narrowed, and she faces challenges against Ruben Gallego in a head-to-head

Noble Predictive Insights
May 22, 20244 min read
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Arizona’s Electorate Allergic to MAGA Brand in 2024 US Senate Race
Recent AZPOP data finds that AZ’s electorate is steering away from the MAGA brand when deciding who to vote for in the 2024 U.S. Senate race

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 21, 20244 min read
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The Arizona Power Rankings: Predictive Insights on the Electability Power of 50 Big Names in Arizona
An interactive dashboard offering unparalleled insights into the preferences of voters and the electability power of key figures in Arizona.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jan 9, 20243 min read
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A Night at the Sinema – Update on the 2024 Senate Race in Arizona
Gauging a Sinema Third-Party Run

Noble Predictive Insights
Nov 16, 20233 min read
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AZ Senate: Gallego Leads in All Head-To-Head Matchups
According to the latest Arizona Public Opinion Pulse, Ruben Gallego is the most popular listed potential) candidate in the upcoming 2024 U.S

Noble Predictive Insights
Feb 16, 20234 min read
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