Joe Arpaio Leads Both Primary and General Election Race for Maricopa County SheriffPHOENIX (August 4, 2016) —Maricopa Sheriff Joe Arpaio leads a 4-way Republican Primary by 54% the day early voting begins and leads a potential General Election race by 5%, according to recent polls conducted by leading behavior research polling company, OH Predictive Insights.
In a survey of 484, likely Republican, Independent and Non-Declared voters across Maricopa County based on projected 2016 Primary Election turnout, Joe Arpaio leads Dan Saban 67% to 13%. K. Wayne Baker and Marcia Hill each registered 2%.2016 Maricopa County Primary ElectionAugust 2, 2016 ResultsJoe Arpaio67%Dan Saban13%K. Wayne Baker2%Marcia Hill2%Undecided16%
In a survey of 348 likely General Election voters in Maricopa County based on projected 2016 General Election turnout, Joe Arpaio leads Democrat Paul Penzone 46% to 41%.2016 Maricopa County General ElectionAugust 3, 2016 ResultsJoe Arpaio46%Paul Penzone41%Undecided13%
“Joe Arpaio is crushing his primary opponents in the race for the Republican nomination for Maricopa County Sheriff. Republican Primary voters overwhelmingly support Sheriff Arpaio.” Mike Noble, managing partner of OH Predictive Insights and chief pollster, said. “In the General Election Sheriff Arpaio has a 5% lead over the candidate he defeated 4 years ago. The General looks to be a close race up until the final votes are counted.”
Methodology: This automated survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights on August 2 & 3, 2016, from a 2016 likely GOP primary election sample and 2016 general election sample. General election poll was weighted to reflect likely general election turnout. The sample size was 484 completed surveys for the primary and 348 completed surveys for the general, with a MoE of ± 4.45% for Primary and a MOE of ± 5.25% for General.
About OH Predictive Insights With Owens Harkey Advertising’s marketing and creative service resources coupled with OH Strategic Communication’s unparalleled messaging and strategic planning expertise, OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced targeted marketing. Leading Arizona pollster Michael Noble from MBQF Consulting brings proprietary social statistics software and services to OH Predictive Insights providing clients with tools to solve their most challenging problems. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-254-5159.