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Arizona’s Generic Ballot and Trends

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                               October 26, 2018

Arizona’s Generic Ballot and Trends

More than half of Arizona voters have already sent in their ballots.

59% of voters have already sent in their ballots. 29% plan on sending in their ballot, but have not, and 12% plan on voting at the polls.

Right direction is going up.

The amount of Arizonans who think the state is going in the right direction has gone up three points, to 49%. Those who think the state is on the wrong track remain at 38%.

Immigration up 6 points among top issues.

Top issues are consistent, with immigration, education and health care being the most important to voters. 

Since our last poll, immigration has risen by 6 points, to 37%. Education has gone down 7 points, to 25%, and health care has risen 5 points, to 19%.

Trump job disapproval going up.

Trump’s job approval has gone down slightly, to 54%. The amount of voters who disapprove has risen two points, to 46%.

More Republicans among congressional voters.

Of Arizona’s congressional voter turnout, 50% consider themselves Republican, 41% are Democratic, 4% are other and 5% have no opinion or do not know.

50% Republican

41% Democrat

Quote from our Chief Pollster and Managing Partner, Mike Noble.

“As you can see, immigration is going up among top issues in Arizona and education is heading down. This could be a result of many factors, potentially including Trump’s recent rally in Arizona or the migrant caravan in Mexico.”

Methodology: This 42% landline and 58% cell phone poll was completed by OH Predictive Insights on October 22, 2018 and October 23, 2018, from a likely 2018 General Election voter sample. The sample demographics accurately reflected party affiliation, gender, region, and age. The sample size was 600 completed surveys, with a MoE of ± 4%. Numbers may not total 100%, due to rounding. Poll report for the General Election poll can be viewed here.


Media Contacts:

Annelise Krafft, OH Predictive Insights,, (480) 414-8770

John Cuthbert, ABC15,, (602) 803-2529

About OH Predictive Insights

Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-254-5159 or submit a request online.



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