President Biden 15 Points Underwater with Arizona Voters
PHOENIX (March 30th, 2022)- President Joe Biden is now facing his lowest job approval rating in Arizona since taking office, according to a new tracking survey by OH Predictive Insights (OHPI). After 14 months on the job, only 40% of Arizona voters are giving the Democrat positive marks, while 55% disapprove of his job performance as of the March survey.
This Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) was conducted March 7th, 2022 – March 15th, 2022 and surveyed 753 Arizona registered voters, giving the survey a margin of error of +/- 3.6%.
Driving this nosedive are Arizona’s all-important Independent voters: nearly 3 in 5 Independents disapprove of Biden’s job performance as of the March AZPOP.
Republicans are in a comfortable position as they only need one seat to regain control of the U.S. Senate, and Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is a top target. On the other end, Democrats are on the defense of several congressional seats after the decennial redistricting process (the reconfiguring of political boundaries to account for population shifts reflected in the recent census) in 2021.
“Biden’s record-low approval ratings are encouraging to Arizona Republicans as they look to notch victories in several key races,” said Mike Noble, OHPI Chief of Research. “Majority disapproval of the President always trickles down ticket as the entire party suffers residual damages.”
The President is also facing negative numbers on nearly every issue that has dominated news headlines in recent weeks. Some of Biden’s biggest drops in approval from May 2021 to March 2022 come from the President’s handling of COVID-19, the economy, and uniting the country.
Voters in the Grand Canyon state are now largely split on Biden’s response to the pandemic. In last May’s AZPOP survey, his pandemic numbers were more than 30 points above water but fell to a net -2% in March 2022. When it comes to the economy, Biden is currently 22 points underwater – a 33-point drop from last May.
“The survey shows potential warning signs for Arizona Democrats as they gear up for this November’s midterm elections following Biden’s narrow 2020 victory in the state,” said Noble.
Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from March 7 to March 15, 2022 from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect the registered voter population by gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education according to a recent voter file derived from the Arizona Secretary of State’s Office and recent Census data. The sample size was 753 registered voters in Arizona, with a MoE of ± 3.6%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding.
About OH Predictive Insights: As a non-partisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Arizona-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights serves political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 480-313-1837 or submit a request online atOHPredictive.com.