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Why They Did It: Trump and Harris Voters in Arizona Explain their Votes
Unofficial results are in, but what vote count doesn’t tell us is why AZ voters voted the way they did - this poll answers that question.

Noble Predictive Insights
Dec 4, 20245 min read


NPI Arizona Poll of Record Proves Accurate in Senate Race and Abortion Measure
NPI's poll of record has correctly predicted the close outcomes in Arizona’s critical races, cementing NPI’s reputation as a top pollster.

Noble Predictive Insights
Nov 12, 20244 min read


AZ POLL OF RECORD: Trump +1, Gallego +4
NPI's poll of record on Arizona’s general election reveals extremely tight Presidential and U.S. Senate races.

Noble Predictive Insights
Oct 31, 20245 min read


Pessimism Reigns as Voter Priorities Shift
For months, inflation, immigration, and abortion have been the top issues. That’s still true – but a new top-tier issue has emerged...

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 5, 20245 min read


Balancing on the Razor's Edge: Maricopa County’s Political Tightrope
Poll: Extremely tight races in Maricopa County across multiple offices and continued support for the renewal of Proposition 479.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 3, 20245 min read


Arizonans Overwhelmingly Back Immigration Ballot Measure
Most AZ voters support Prop 314, which would widely reform Arizona’s immigration policy, but are less supportive of Prop 135 and Prop 137.

Noble Predictive Insights
Sep 2, 20245 min read


Gallego Leads Lake in U.S. Senate Race
NPI's latest AZPOP finds Ruben Gallego with significant advantages on several key issues, positioning him well in the race against Kari Lake

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 28, 20245 min read


Harris Shakes Up Key Demographics in 2024 Presidential Race
Poll: A highly competitive Trump vs. Harris race. Despite Trump maintaining a narrow lead, Harris has significantly shifted voter dynamics.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 26, 20245 min read


Nailing it in the Southwest: NPI’s Accurate Predictions in GOP Primaries
NPI is celebrating a clean sweep of accurate GOP primary predictions across three key Southwestern states - Arizona, Nevada, and Utah.

Noble Predictive Insights
Aug 13, 20244 min read


Arizona Poll of Record: NPI’s Poll of Record Aces the Southwest
As unofficial results from AZ's 2024 primaries , NPI’ poll of record has correctly predicted the outcome of the GOP Senate primary.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 31, 20243 min read


AZ POLL OF RECORD: Lake Outpaces Lamb in GOP Senate Primary
NPI's poll of record on Arizona’s GOP Senate primary finds that Kari Lake holds a significant lead over Mark Lamb.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 26, 20244 min read


The Race is On: AZCD01 Democratic Primary
The Democratic primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District remains highly competitive with no clear leader emerging from the pack

Noble Predictive Insights
Jul 8, 20244 min read


POLL: Arizona Voters Don’t Want Politicians Regulating Abortion Access
A ballot measure that would give politicians the ability to regulate abortion rights is broadly unpopular among Arizona voters (52% oppose).

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 10, 20243 min read


Statewide Unity in Supporting Ukraine
A 57% majority of Arizona voters support either the same or increased levels of funding for Ukraine.

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 4, 20243 min read


Abortion Attitudes in Arizona: A Steady Heartbeat
Poll finds abortion sentiment steady and discovered what some of the “certain circumstances” voters deem acceptable for a legal abortion

Noble Predictive Insights
Jun 3, 20245 min read


Prop 479: Full Speed Ahead
This AZPOP found overwhelming support from Maricopa County voters for the renewal of Proposition 479 (formerly known as Proposition 400).

Noble Predictive Insights
May 29, 20243 min read


Indicted Electors Find Few Allies in Arizona
Arizona’s electorate is largely unsympathetic towards the 11 individuals indicted as fraudulent electors.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 27, 20244 min read


Lake Still Leading GOP Senate Primary, But Losing Ground
Kari Lake still leads in the GOP Senate primary, but her lead has narrowed, and she faces challenges against Ruben Gallego in a head-to-head

Noble Predictive Insights
May 22, 20244 min read


Biden Loses Support in Arizona as Trump Holds Steady
While Trump isn’t gaining significant new support, Biden is struggling to maintain his shrinking base in critical battleground state AZ.

Noble Predictive Insights
May 21, 20245 min read


Governor Hobbs Outlasts Honeymoon Period with Arizona Voters
In February 2023 – just after Hobbs took office – her approval rating stood at net +13. In February 2024, her net approval remains the same.

Noble Predictive Insights
Mar 6, 20244 min read
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