Arizona Currently a Toss-Up Between Trump and Hillary for PresidentPHOENIX (August 29, 2016) —Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is neck and neck with Republican nominee Donald Trump in Arizona, according to a recent poll conducted by leading behavior research polling company, OH Predictive Insights.
In a survey of 728 likely Democrat, Republican, Independent and Non-Declared voters across Arizona, based on projected 2016 general election turnout, Democrat Hillary Clinton is leading by 1 percent, which is well within the margin of error over Republican Donald Trump.2016 Arizona General ElectionAugust 25-27, 2016 ResultsHillary Clinton40%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%Undecided13%
*Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding
In the last six presidential contests, Arizona was won by a Republican five times. The last Democratic candidate to carry Arizona was Bill Clinton two decades ago in 1996.
“Donald Trump continues to slowly increase his numbers, coming to a near virtual tie here in Arizona,” Mike Noble, managing partner of OH Predictive Insights and chief pollster, said. “Typically, during an election year, Arizona gets little-to-no attention in a presidential contest but this election year appears to be an enigma.”
“Hillary Clinton’s Democratic vote is more consolidated compared to Donald Trump’s Republican vote, 83 to 73 percent,” said Mike Noble. “Surprisingly, the gender gap between the two candidates is nearly non-existent in Arizona, with Clinton leading Trump by 4 percent with female voters.”
Methodology: This survey employed live callers and automated phones which was completed by OH Predictive Insights on August 25-27, 2016, from a 2016 general election sample. Poll was weighted to reflect likely general election turnout. The sample size was 728 completed surveys, with a MoE of ± 3.63% with 23% cell phones/ 77% landlines.
About OH Predictive Insights With Owens Harkey Advertising’s marketing and creative service resources coupled with OH Strategic Communication’s unparalleled messaging and strategic planning expertise, OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced targeted marketing. Leading Arizona pollster Michael Noble from MBQF Consulting brings proprietary social statistics software and services to OH Predictive Insights providing clients with tools to solve their most challenging problems. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-254-5159.